thank you so much, eamon javers in washington. neither side seems closer to signing on the dotted line so is congress living on borrowed time with the markets as it drags out the process in the next couple of weeks? christopher whalen is with me and says the market will throw a tantrum if we don't get a deal and another says the markets will trade sideways to slightly lower from now until year end. >> you think the markets have actually baked in no deal? >> i think there's likely to be a deal by late december, early january, last minute and the markets are poised to rally. i think they are kind of going sideways the next few days or so. i think they are probably going to rally in the year end, early january and then i'd be worried about a downtown because i think the first quarter will be surprisingly weak in the united states. >> the first quarter will be weak. we already know about the anticipation going into the first quarter. the reason i'm stuck on this question is you think that this is baked in because i think the market is